Thanks for the additional comments.
The aim of the project 110 timetable is to speed up journey times and increase capacity on the WCML south of Milton Keynes where we have major crowding at peak times but no more 100mph paths. It's an innovative scheme that enables us to run a xx46 and xx49 from Euston, which in due course has the potential to increase capacity on fast services to Milton Keynes by up to 800 seats per hour. As majority of Trent Valley traffic is to London and journey time is already very long, it therefore makes sense for the Crewe trains to avoid going via Rugby. However, the increased capacity by running at 110mph means that Northampton retains its 3 trains per hour with some speed improvements.
We have 30 class 350/1s, so even if all Liverpool-Birmingham and all Crewe-London services are in their hands, that still leaves a significant number for other services and we will obviously try to focus these on the longer distance trains where possible.
One of the other benefits of the scheme is that it becomes faster to change at Rugby when heading to London from Birmingham on certain departures, and that will free up capacity on the Birmingham-London service travelling via Northampton. Rugby-London will also have a cheaper direct route to London without the need to go via Northampton, again freeing up capacity for Northampton.
The ORCATS question is an interesting one since we will still be overtaken en route by VT and earn virtually nothing from the Any Permitted flow on Birmingham-London where we last introduced enhancements. The vast majority of our revenue comes from London Midland only fares, and this will remain the case since. The only difference is that more people will buy such tickets. In the peak - until 2014 at least - the IC West Coast operator will be providing the peak service when Any Permitted tickets will be the norm.
During the peak with the current fleet we cannot run trains via Weedon without decreasing the frequency to Northampton, so we have abandoned that idea. However, when we received our 10 x class 350/3s (which will be 2+2 configuration), we will be able to run via Weedon and via Northampton in the peak, which will increase capacity between London and Milton Keynes, whilst freeing space on Northampton trains that currently have a high number of Trent Valley customers on board.
It seems a little unfair to suggest that LM has shown a lack of interest in Northampton. We've increased the frequency between Birmingham and Northampton from 1 train per hour to 3 trains per hour since we took over in 2007, introduced Advance fares and replaced the 321s with brand new trains. Whether you like the 3+2 configuration or not, which of course is as per the 321s they replaced, passenger feedback consistently rates them far higher than 321s and only marginally lower than 350/1s. In an ideal world, we would have liked to have been able to specify the 2+2 layout for the whole fleet, but that simply didn't meet the DfT's specification on capacity. We haven't had that constraint with the 350/3s which is why they will have 2+2 (thus increasing the proportion of such units in the fleet).
Wellingborough is lucky in that it has an HST service to London, but passengers also pay dearly for it. It costs £37 more than travelling from Northampton in the peak and £34 more in the off-peak.
The idea that we have deliberately broken connections from Northampton at Rugby seems a little strange. The timetable has been through a number of iterations, however, and it is just possible that this has slipped in. We'll see what we can do to resolve that as it serves no purpose from a customer viewpoint.
Finally, in terms of capacity, there will be fewer 8 car trains during the day from Northampton to London, but this should be offset, in the main, by capacity being freed up by the new Weedon services. However, as one of the fastest growing TOCs in the UK, we are constantly reviewing passenger loadings and will target extra resources where there are needed. 8 car trains on the Trent Valley and the possibility of splitting at Rugby are also being looked into.
I hope that helps clarify some of the elements of the new timetable. There should be more background available online as we approach the timetable change.
David
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A more even split would be wonderful, but the "obvious" move of putting the xx25 northbound out of Northampton to xx35 would, I'm told, knacker the standard freight path through Coventry, hence why it currently runs xx25 and then stands at Coventry for 13 minutes in platform 4.
That's correct - the 20/20/20 pattern isn't possible to protect a strategic freight path. As a result our train sits at Coventry for some time (although conveniently connects into a VT into Birmingham).