How do TOCs identify fraudulent railcards?

[AlterEgo]

That's a new one on me. Care to explain ?

You’ve no idea if criminals are smart or stupid as a cohort because you only know about the ones that get caught. That’s a type of survivorship bias (or a reverse survivorship bias depending on how you think about the problem!). There are, of course, many, many criminals who don’t get caught that you don’t know about and whose intellect you aren’t able to assess.

There are far more clever ways to defraud or steal from train companies than the ones we hear about on this forum.

 

[Fermiboson]

That's a new one on me. Care to explain ?

Intelligent criminals are less likely to be caught and you’re unlikely to know about it if they aren’t.

Similar effect with fare evasion in general - we like to say on this forum that fare evasion isn’t worth it because you’ll always eventually be caught, but anecdotally speaking, the majority of people who fare evade non-industrially probably get away with it.