What's the best option to do the Welsh Highland Railway as a day trip from Hemel Hempstead?
Going north, ontimetrains has the 06:06 Hemel Hempstead – 08:03 Birmingham International on time 33% of the time, which feels too risky for the 08:08 Porthmadog service, so I think the 06:52 Avanti from Milton Keynes / 06:31 from Watford Junction – 07:36 Birmingham International would be preferable if not cheaper. I'd rather change at Birmingham International than Stafford and Wolverhampton (leaving Hemel at 06:33; via Crewe would need to be at 05:07), although I don't know if that service is normally quiet enough to get a good seat from further west anyway. I know that advance tickets for Birmingham International to Porthmadog are available from ~£10 with a 16-25 railcard. For the return journey, leaving Bangor at 17:59 and changing at Chester, Crewe and Watford Junction seems like the best option.
How likely is it that the cheapest option for the National Rail portion of the journey would be to get a Birmingham to Ffestiniog round robin ticket (£33.20 with railcard) and not using the Ffestiniog Railway portion, and advance tickets between Hemel Hempstead and Birmingham / Stafford, or should I wait until advance tickets west of Shrewsbury / Crewe are available?
Edit: I'm aware of upcoming rail replacement buses west of Shrewsbury until the second of April.
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I've found advance ticket to Birmingham International changing at Milton Keynes to the Avanti service for £12 and from Stockport at 21:24 for £24 (or slightly lower splitting at Leighton Buzzard); I suspect that's more or less the cheapest I'm going to find without getting an LNR service southbound as well.
Going north, ontimetrains has the 06:06 Hemel Hempstead – 08:03 Birmingham International on time 33% of the time, which feels too risky for the 08:08 Porthmadog service, so I think the 06:52 Avanti from Milton Keynes / 06:31 from Watford Junction – 07:36 Birmingham International would be preferable if not cheaper. I'd rather change at Birmingham International than Stafford and Wolverhampton (leaving Hemel at 06:33; via Crewe would need to be at 05:07), although I don't know if that service is normally quiet enough to get a good seat from further west anyway. I know that advance tickets for Birmingham International to Porthmadog are available from ~£10 with a 16-25 railcard. For the return journey, leaving Bangor at 17:59 and changing at Chester, Crewe and Watford Junction seems like the best option.
How likely is it that the cheapest option for the National Rail portion of the journey would be to get a Birmingham to Ffestiniog round robin ticket (£33.20 with railcard) and not using the Ffestiniog Railway portion, and advance tickets between Hemel Hempstead and Birmingham / Stafford, or should I wait until advance tickets west of Shrewsbury / Crewe are available?
Edit: I'm aware of upcoming rail replacement buses west of Shrewsbury until the second of April.
== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==
I've found advance ticket to Birmingham International changing at Milton Keynes to the Avanti service for £12 and from Stockport at 21:24 for £24 (or slightly lower splitting at Leighton Buzzard); I suspect that's more or less the cheapest I'm going to find without getting an LNR service southbound as well.
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