One witness did describe some braking, but did not mention heavy or urgent braking.So it's likely that the 360 passed a signal at danger, right? An IET doesn't stop on a dime so the signal protecting it should have been red for some time, and the one before it at caution. Anyone have an idea of how up the line the 810 was from the last signal?
The track layout is such that the 360 saw the caution? At what speed would a driver normally proceed at on that route at that time? The 360 clearly was far below line speed (damage suggests 20-30 mph relative impact speeds; I assume the 810 was stationary), but I haven't read much eye witnesses talk of the train being under heavy braking (unless I've missed it).
Some witnesses said there was no braking at all.
This video from about 1h01m in shows the relevant area several years ago. I don't know if the signalling is still the same:
We cannot speculate about the driver's actions, not least as he has sadly died, but the impact looks like a fairly hard hit; the 810 derailed as a result and a number of severe injuries on the 360 is 30 or so. Also, the grade of the curve means the 810 would have been in sight for a considerable length of time had the train been doing only 20-30mph, and preparing to stop at the next signal.
A key question will be how fast the 360 was travelling and if and when power was taken after the crossover. This is a very familiar move for drivers heading south from Corby and is booked on most southbound turns from Corby.
I maintain my surprise that WH154 is not a TPWS fitted signal given its location; it's the first signal for a lot of trains moving onto the fasts and in my view there is a risk that routine work and the psychology of "getting onto the fasts to notch up and head direct to London at line speed" feeds into SPAD risk. Couple this with approach control and the risk of subconscious processing "this yellow is always here to remind me of my speed" rather than warning of an occupied section ahead and you may have another question RAIB may want to look at.
Of course, RAIB will also want to be sure which aspect was displayed to the driver and forward facing CCTV will answer this conclusively.
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They have been extremely good at this recently, agreed.RAIB after more recent incidents have been fairly quick recently with a shortform overview of what they've found and intended course of their investigation as they are mindful of the wider social environment in todays world.
