On the Durham issue, worth noting that
LNER have reinstated the 08:22 (now at 08:24) which makes a huge difference for commuters (such as me!).
Except that it's not at 08:24, despite what it says in the press release, on the timetable microsite narrative and repeated verbatim by news outlets.
Credit to LNER for actually doing that. When I saw the gap in the draft timetable I had a horrible feeling that either the gap would remain or that the gap would be filled with a 2-carriage Northern service (as many of the other early trains are).
The actual 'replacement' service, per the actual timetable, linked to from the timetable microsite with the erroneous narrative, is at 08:
27 from Durham.
So, it's not departing two minutes later than the current service; it's going to depart five minutes later:
The above extract from the now-published timetable shows timings of the service, departing Darlington at 08:08 and Durham at 08:27, not 08:24 from the latter.
Quite why Network Rail should claim 08:24 so boldly is open to speculation.
So, three minutes or five minutes may seem pretty marginal, especially to the remote commentators, however the current 08:22 from Durham arrives at 08:36 into Newcastle.
The 'replacement' will arrive at 08:44, so that's now eight minutes later on the critical arrival timing - for some of those with work and study commitments commencing at 09:00, this will be compromising and will do little to maintain passenger numbers, let alone drive modal shift from the A1 road corridor.
The fact that the stock for this service will run ECS from Heaton to form the Northbound service does not inspire confidence that it will not also be a prime candidate for cancellation during disruption.
The above should take nothing away from the hard work undertaken by local campaigners and the Durham City MP to get
something salvaged from the mess.
Meanwhile, the whole timetable relies on 90 second dwells for LNER services.
Empirically, the fastest achieved is about 67 seconds when lightly loaded, but as soon as a bike or wheelchair boarding or alighting has to be accommodated, the dwell sails well over 90 seconds.
The particularly heavy luggage loads on the route add further time pressure - again especially at Durham at the country end of the down platform, which is extremely narrow.
Meanwhile, the assertion that CrossCountry will provide a meaningful alternative for Durham to Edinburgh flows is specious at best.
Quite apart from (although directly connected to) physical capacity, CrossCountry Advance fares are generally, in practice, in the region of double those of LNER between Durham and Edinburgh, which will not go unnoticed.
Slightly OT, but undoubtedly part of the underlying problem is actually CrossCountry, but at places like Northallerton, Durham and Berwick, it's LNER that's actively complicit in making things worse.
The closeness to Darlington and Newcastle would be okay if there was something like a half-hourly EMU service connecting them all, but there isn’t. Relying on XC is problematic as they don’t provide much capacity, what capacity they do have is shared with the longer distance passengers, their services can’t readily be lengthened just to cater for specific short-distance flows, and being long-distance their timekeeping is always going to be risky.
The above is key, but one of the reasons that a frequent EMU service isn't possible is because of the line between York and Newcastle being cluttered up with short, low-capacity diesel Voyagers which are subject to high levels of late running, running end to end routes which have next to no end to end customers.
The fact is that those making journeys from Edinburgh to Bristol, or Newcastle to Plymouth, or Dundee to Penzance do not require or desire hourly service; three nine-coach high-quality trains a day in each direction would probably do it as a baseline for those customers (and might even grow the market slightly given the significant upgrade that an IET could be from a Voyager).
That could free paths to start making York > Northallerton > Darlington > [Ferryhill] > Durham > Chester-le-Street > Newcastle (and potentially even beyond towards the likes of Hexham or Morpeth, or from Teesside) a meaningful contributor to intra North East connectivity.
That's before even thinking about what the Leamside could offer in terms of diverting some services, the potential for Consett and even reinstating the Seahouses branch as, effectively, a remunerative turn back siding to further increase the opportunity to increase low-carbon service regularity and frequency to growing areas North of Newcastle and relieving the (still single-carriageway in parts, and repeatedly spurned for investment) A1.
Slightly OT, but the clear obsession with London to Edinburgh flows also seems to persistently ignore just how many passengers on the busiest services are travelling on Eurail/BritRail passes, while domestic passengers are being increasingly punitively charged.
Indeed, it may well even be argued that the implications of the current East Coast strategy are just small further nudges that some feel towards being marginalised or ignored by national politicians and institutions.
And we can see where that's leading in places like Durham.....